About laurenkrimper

Rumors, Lies and Developer

There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.

The arithmetic here is brutal and worth understanding clearly. A buyer who financed a $400,000 home at three percent in 2021 pays roughly $1,686 per month on principal and interest. That same loan at a seven percent rate costs $2,661. That gap of nearly a thousand dollars a month is why transaction volume has fallen to levels not seen in decades. Volume collapsed. Prices mostly did not.

Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. A market can stay unaffordable for longer than most buyers expect to wait. What it means, practically, is that fewer people can compete for each property.

Shop at least three lenders before you commit to one. A quarter-point difference in your interest rate adds up to real money that most buyers leave on the table by taking the first offer they receive. Lender fees vary too. Ask each lender for a Loan Estimate document, which breaks down all costs in a standardized format.

The appraisal is the lender’s check, not yours. If the home appraises below the contract price, the lender will only finance against the appraised value. Ask your agent whether recent comparable sales support the price you are offering.

Price matters, but terms matter too. The buyer who calls the listing agent before submitting, asks what matters to the seller, and builds the offer around that information wins more often than the buyer who simply goes the highest.

The timing question, whether to buy now or wait for prices to pull back, is the one that trips up more buyers than any other single factor. No one consistently times the real estate market. The more useful question is not whether now is the right time in the abstract; it is whether you are buying because the numbers make sense for you, not because you feel social pressure to own.

Buyers who take the time to do their homework tend to find that opportunities exist even when conditions look difficult on paper. Spending twenty minutes with current homes for sale and market analytics is a better use of your time than waiting for conditions that may never arrive.